President Lagarde presents the latest monetary policy decisions – 18 December 2025

Source: European Central Bank (video statements)

Today our Governing Council decided on monetary policy.

Listen to President Christine Lagarde present today’s decisions. The statement also covers:

• how the economy is performing
• how we expect prices to develop
• the risks to the economic outlook
• the dynamics behind financial and monetary conditions

Published and recorded during our press conference on 18 December 2025.

Our monetary policy statement at a glance, 18 December 2025
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/press_conference/visual-mps/2025/html/mopo_statement_explained_december.en.html

Christine Lagarde, Luis de Guindos: Monetary policy statement, 18 December 2025
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/press_conference/monetary-policy-statement/2025/html/ecb.is251218~3a10402adb.en.html

Monetary policy decisions, 18 December 2025
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pr/date/2025/html/ecb.mp251218~58b0e415a6.en.html

Combined monetary policy decisions and statement, 18 December 2025
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/press_conference/monetary-policy-statement/shared/pdf/ecb.ds251218~f264376788.en.pdf

Macroeconomic projections, 18 December 2025
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/projections/html/index.en.html

European Central Bank
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/home/html/index.en.html

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tQGrQqmwsSk

The Price of War | Fiscal Policy and EMU Governance Conference 2025

Source: European Central Bank (video statements)

Session 4 on geopolitical tensions and fiscal implications of war on the second day of the Fiscal Policy and Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) Governance conference. The conference is co-organised by the ECB and Fiscal Affairs Department of the IMF.

Chair: Era Dabla-Norris, International Monetary Fund

The price of war
Jonathan Federle, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, together with André Meier, Gernot Müller, Moritz Schularick
Discussant: João Monteiro, Einaudi Institute for Economics and Finance

Watch all sessions from the conference: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLnVAEZuF9FZkp656i2hu_0dlpMBaQfGh0

Conference programme:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/conferences/html/20251031_fiscal_policy_conference.en.html

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zax1kckStyc

The Offensive Power of Defense News in Europe | Fiscal Policy and EMU Governance Conference 2025

Source: European Central Bank (video statements)

Session 4 on geopolitical tensions and fiscal implications of war on the second day of the Fiscal Policy and Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) Governance conference. The conference is co-organised by the ECB and Fiscal Affairs Department of the IMF.

Chair: Era Dabla-Norris, International Monetary Fund

The offensive power of defense news in Europe
Evi Pappa, University Carlos III of Madrid, together with Nadav Ben Zeev and Elena Scola Gagliardi
Discussant: Ethan Ilzetzki, London School of Economics

Watch all sessions from the conference: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLnVAEZuF9FZkp656i2hu_0dlpMBaQfGh0

Conference programme:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/conferences/html/20251031_fiscal_policy_conference.en.html

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Tjan3iuNmBI

Closing remarks | Fiscal Policy and EMU Governance Conference 2025

Source: European Central Bank (video statements)

Closing remarks by Era Dabla-Norris, International Monetary Fund, at the Fiscal Policy and Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) Governance conference. The conference is co-organised by the ECB and Fiscal Affairs Department of the IMF.

The conference took place on 04 and 05 December 2025.
Watch all sessions from the conference: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLnVAEZuF9FZkp656i2hu_0dlpMBaQfGh0

Conference programme:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/conferences/html/20251031_fiscal_policy_conference.en.html

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LiXdhQ8eGqc

Public Debt and Policy Expectations | Fiscal Policy and EMU Governance Conference 2025

Source: European Central Bank (video statements)

Session 3 on perceptions of public debt and fiscal narratives on the second day of the Fiscal Policy and Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) Governance conference. The conference is co-organised by the ECB and Fiscal Affairs Department of the IMF.

Session chair: Oreste Tristani, European Central Bank

Perceptions of public debt and policy expectations: evidence from cross-country surveys
Francesco Bianchi, Johns Hopkins University, together with Era Dabla-Norris and Salma Khalid
Discussant: Eric Mengus, HEC Paris

Watch all sessions from the conference: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLnVAEZuF9FZkp656i2hu_0dlpMBaQfGh0

Conference programme:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/conferences/html/20251031_fiscal_policy_conference.en.html

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UJ9eAmrf_JA

Macroeconomic Effects of Fiscal Policies in the EU | Fiscal Policy and EMU Governance Conference

Source: European Central Bank (video statements)

Session 3 on perceptions of public debt and fiscal narratives on the second day of the Fiscal Policy and Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) Governance conference. The conference is co-organised by the ECB and Fiscal Affairs Department of the IMF.

Session chair: Oreste Tristani, European Central Bank

Inspecting the macroeconomic effects of fiscal policies in the EU through a new dataset of narrative measures
Roberto Perotti, Bocconi University, together with Mario Alloza, Francesco Berardini, Jacopo Cimadomo, Niamh Dunne, Jan Kuckuck and Luca Sala
Discussant: Massimo Giuliodori, University of Amsterdam

Watch all sessions from the conference: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLnVAEZuF9FZkp656i2hu_0dlpMBaQfGh0

Conference programme:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/conferences/html/20251031_fiscal_policy_conference.en.html

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1R1TNgpNupo

Sovereign Default and Interest Rates | Fiscal Policy and EMU Governance Conference 2025

Source: European Central Bank (video statements)

Session 1 on fiscal stagnation and sovereign risk on the first day of the Fiscal Policy and Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) Governance conference. The conference is co-organised by the ECB and Fiscal Affairs Department of the IMF.
Session chair: Oscar Arce, European Central Bank

Sovereign default and the decline in interest rates
Jessica Wachter, University of Pennsylvania, together with Max Miller and James Paron
Discussant: Eugenia Gonzalez-Aguado, Toulouse School of Economics

Watch all sessions from the conference: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLnVAEZuF9FZkp656i2hu_0dlpMBaQfGh0

Conference programme:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/conferences/html/20251031_fiscal_policy_conference.en.html

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tN11ivC2fF4