Source: European Central Bank (video statements)
Faizaan Kisat* (International Monetary Fund)
with Davide Furceri (International Monetary Fund), Domenico Giannone (Johns Hopkins University), Raphael Lam, and Hongchi Li (all International Monetary Fund)
Discussant: Maximilian Schröder (European Central Bank)
Source: European Central Bank (video statements)
Chronos-2: From Univariate to Universal Forecasting
Pablo Guerron* (Boston College)
with Abdul Fatir Ansari, Oleksandr Shchur (all Amazon Web Services), Jaris Küken (Amazon Web Services; University of Freiburg), Andreas Auer (Amazon Web Services), Johannes Kepler (University Linz), Boran Han, Pedro Mercado, Syama Sundar Rangapuram, Huibin Shen, Lorenzo Stella, Xiyuan Zhang, Mononito Goswami, Shubham Kapoor, Danielle C. Maddix, Tony Hu, Junming Yin, Nick Erickson, Prateek Mutalik Desai (all Amazon Web Services), Hao Wang (Amazon Web Services; Rutgers University), Huzefa Rangwala, George Karypis, Yuyang Wang, Michael Bohlke-Schneider (all Amazon Web Services)
Discussant: Francesco Ravazzolo (Free University of Bozen-Bolzano)
Source: European Central Bank (video statements)
Keynote speech: Policymakers’ Uncertainty
Stephen Hansen (University College London)
Source: European Central Bank (video statements)
Afonso Soto de Moura* (European Central Bank)
with Gergely Buda (Barcelona School of Economics), Vasco M. Carvalho (University of Cambridge), Giancarlo Corsetti (European University Institute), João B. Duarte (Nova School of Business and Economics), Stephen Hansen (University College London), Álvaro Ortiz (BBVA Research), Tomasa Rodrigo (BBVA Research), José V. Rodríguez Mora (CUNEF Universidad, University of Edinburgh), Guilherme Alves da Silva (Nova School of Business and Economics)
Discussant: Leonardo Melosi (European University Institute)
Source: European Central Bank (video statements)
Asger L. Andersen* (University of Copenhagen)
with Kilian Huber (University of Chicago), Niels Johannesen (University of Oxford), Ludwig Straub (Harvard University), Emil Toft Vestergard (Danmarks Nationalbank),
Discussant: Chiara Osbat (Bank for International Settlements)
Source: European Central Bank (video statements)
Fabio Stohler* (University of Bonn)
with Hanno Kase (European Central Bank) and Matthias Rottner (Bank for International Settlements)
Discussant: Michael Reiter (Institute for Advanced Studies, Vienna)
Source: European Central Bank (video statements)
Peter Reinhard Hansen* (University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill)
with Neville Francis (University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill) and Chen Tong (Xiamen University)
Discussant: Oriol González-Casasús (Universitat Pompeu Fabra)
Source: European Central Bank (video statements)
Martin Spindler* (University of Hamburg)
with Philipp Bach (Freie Universität Berlin), Victor Chernozhukov (Massachusetts Institute of Technology), Sven Klaassen, Jan Teichert-Kluge (all University of Hamburg) and Suhas Vijaykumar (University of California, San Diego)
Discussant: Dimitris Georgarakos (European Central Bank)
Source: European Central Bank (video statements)
Jin Xi* (Chinese Academy of Sciences)
with Jin Cynthia Wu and Shihan Xie (all University of Illinois)
Discussant: Olga Goldfayn-Frank (Deutsche Bundesbank)
Source: European Central Bank (video statements)
Welcome remarks by João Sousa, European Central Bank, on the first day of the 2026 Forecasting Techniques conference.
This biennial European Central Bank conference provides a forum for new theoretical and applied work on forecasting with an aim to put new insights into practice. Under the title “Artificial intelligence in economic narratives, forecasting and risk assessments”, the forthcoming edition focuses on the use of AI algorithms for economic analysis, exploring how these methods are transforming the way economists understand and interpret economic phenomena.
The conference took place on 23 and 24 March 2026.
Watch all sessions from the conference:
See the conference programme here: https://studio.youtube.com/playlist/PLnVAEZuF9FZnMPzsAhkMgCVdx7rdyS_uH/edit
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/conferences/html/20260323_13th_conference_on_forecasting_techniques.en.html
