Debt-at-Risk

Source: European Central Bank (video statements)

Faizaan Kisat* (International Monetary Fund)
with Davide Furceri (International Monetary Fund), Domenico Giannone (Johns Hopkins University), Raphael Lam, and Hongchi Li (all International Monetary Fund)

Discussant: Maximilian Schröder (European Central Bank)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HNJWMcNDdDQ

Chronos-2: From Univariate to Universal Forecasting

Source: European Central Bank (video statements)

Chronos-2: From Univariate to Universal Forecasting

Pablo Guerron* (Boston College)
with Abdul Fatir Ansari, Oleksandr Shchur (all Amazon Web Services), Jaris Küken (Amazon Web Services; University of Freiburg), Andreas Auer (Amazon Web Services), Johannes Kepler (University Linz), Boran Han, Pedro Mercado, Syama Sundar Rangapuram, Huibin Shen, Lorenzo Stella, Xiyuan Zhang, Mononito Goswami, Shubham Kapoor, Danielle C. Maddix, Tony Hu, Junming Yin, Nick Erickson, Prateek Mutalik Desai (all Amazon Web Services), Hao Wang (Amazon Web Services; Rutgers University), Huzefa Rangwala, George Karypis, Yuyang Wang, Michael Bohlke-Schneider (all Amazon Web Services)

Discussant: Francesco Ravazzolo (Free University of Bozen-Bolzano)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PeJReI9Sm0U

The Short Lags of Monetary Policy

Source: European Central Bank (video statements)

Afonso Soto de Moura* (European Central Bank)
with Gergely Buda (Barcelona School of Economics), Vasco M. Carvalho (University of Cambridge), Giancarlo Corsetti (European University Institute), João B. Duarte (Nova School of Business and Economics), Stephen Hansen (University College London), Álvaro Ortiz (BBVA Research), Tomasa Rodrigo (BBVA Research), José V. Rodríguez Mora (CUNEF Universidad, University of Edinburgh), Guilherme Alves da Silva (Nova School of Business and Economics)

Discussant: Leonardo Melosi (European University Institute)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1j3Ag9D71bQ

Adventures in Demand Analysis Using AI

Source: European Central Bank (video statements)

Martin Spindler* (University of Hamburg)
with Philipp Bach (Freie Universität Berlin), Victor Chernozhukov (Massachusetts Institute of Technology), Sven Klaassen, Jan Teichert-Kluge (all University of Hamburg) and Suhas Vijaykumar (University of California, San Diego)

Discussant: Dimitris Georgarakos (European Central Bank)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vYjRilQEb9s